Fund Scenario Modeling for Venture Capital and Private Equity

Ted Wright, Sales Director
Ted Wright, Sales Director
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Fund Scenario Modeling, built on data you already trust.

Fund scenario modeling projects how a change in one position ripples through fund performance — modeling valuation changes, exits, and dilution into fund-level IRR, MOIC, DPI, TVPI, and waterfalls.

Foresight runs these analyses in minutes on live, reconciled data, so your team spends its time on strategy, not on finding numbers across disconnected systems.

The scramble behind every "what if"

A GP asks a simple question: what would this valuation change do to fund performance? It sounds quick. But the answer is an ad hoc analysis that falls outside standard reporting, pulls data from the fund administrator, cap tables, and deal documents, and typically eats hours of a finance team's day rebuilding a model by hand. By the time the answer comes back, the moment for the decision has often passed.

Strategy, not data wrangling

Foresight is your single source of truth for ownership, valuations, fund waterfalls, and portfolio company performance — reconciled from your existing fund admin and accounting systems and always current. Because scenario modeling runs on that same live data, the busywork disappears: no exporting, no stitching spreadsheets, no reconciling five versions of a number before you can even start. Your team focuses on the strategic question, not on assembling the inputs.

And because answers are instant, you can iterate. What if this position doubles? What if it triples? What if it stays flat? Run all three in the time it used to take to find the first number.

What sets Foresight apart: any fund admin, any accounting system

Some platforms can only model scenarios on data they own — you have to move your fund accounting onto their general ledger first. Foresight is different. We integrate with any and all fund administrators and fund accounting systems, unify that data with your cap tables and deal documents, and run scenario analysis on top. You keep your existing admin and ledger; you still get instant, defensible fund-level modeling. No rip-and-replace required.

How Foresight fund scenario modeling works

1. Connect your existing stack

Foresight pulls from your current fund admin, accounting system, cap tables, and deal documents — whatever you already use — and reconciles it into one source of truth.

2. Model at the company level

Project valuation changes, rounds, dilution, exits, and proceeds for any portfolio company.

3. Compose into fund-level forecasts

Roll company-level scenarios up into fund IRR, MOIC, DPI, and TVPI, plus distribution waterfalls.

4. Iterate instantly

Change an assumption and see the fund-level impact immediately — as many times as the question demands.

What you can model

  • Valuation-change scenarios: how one position's mark moves fund performance
  • Company exit scenarios: proceeds, ownership, and dilution across share classes
  • Distribution waterfalls at the company and fund level
  • Fund-level forecasts: IRR, MOIC, DPI, and TVPI under multiple assumptions
  • Follow-on and reserve decisions, portfolio construction, and capital pacing

Model it in-app, or just ask your AI

Drive scenarios directly in Foresight, or in natural language through Foresight's MCP server — ask Claude, ChatGPT, or Glean to "show fund MOIC if our largest position doubles" or "run an exit scenario for [company] at $500M." Answers come from your reconciled data, with lineage back to source documents, so the number in the chat ties to the number in your books.

FAQ
What is fund scenario modeling?
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How long does a fund-level scenario take in Foresight?
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Do I have to move my fund accounting onto Foresight to use it?
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Can I run scenarios through Claude or ChatGPT?
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Does scenario modeling use the same data as our reporting?
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